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Claim analyzed
“The February 2026 calendar configuration is a rare occurrence that happens once every 823 years.”
The Conclusion
Executive Summary
The “once every 823 years” claim is not supported. February 2026's layout (a 28‑day, non‑leap February with a neat 4-weeks-per-weekday grid) is common, and the specific Sunday-start/Saturday-end version occurred in 2015 and is expected again in 2037—so it cannot be an 823‑year rarity.
Warnings
- A single verified counterexample (e.g., the same configuration in 2015) is enough to disprove a “once every 823 years” recurrence claim.
- Much of the '823 years/MiracleIn' narrative comes from chain-message style virality; sources repeating it often don't derive the number from calendar math.
- Be clear what “configuration” means: '28 days with four of each weekday' is routine in non‑leap years; narrowing to a specific weekday start still yields a short cycle, not centuries.
The Claim
How we interpreted the user input
Intent
The user wants to know if the February 2026 calendar configuration is a rare event that occurs once every 823 years.
Testable Claim
The user's input, neutralized and hardened into a testable hypothesis
“The February 2026 calendar configuration is a rare occurrence that happens once every 823 years.”
The Research
What we found online
Summary of Findings
All sources are listed in the Sources section at the end of this report.
The Debate
The for and against arguments
The research brief contains explicit support for the “once every 823 years” figure: Source 3 (Boatos.org) states that February 2026's so-called “MiracleIn” calendar rarity occurs every 823 years, directly matching the atomic claim. Given that February 2026 is widely characterized as an unusually “perfect” configuration (e.g., Source 4 (Evrimagaci) describing the Sunday-to-Saturday, four-by-seven grid), the brief provides affirmative grounding that this specific configuration is treated as an 823-year rarity in circulated explanations.
Your reliance on Source 3 (Boatos.org) is fundamentally flawed because it's a fact-checking site that presents the 823-year claim as a debunked myth, not as factual support—the very purpose of Boatos.org is to expose false information circulating online. You completely ignore that Source 1 (Grand Pinnacle Tribune) explicitly states "NDTV's fact-checking team quickly debunked these assertions" about the 823-year claim, while Source 10 (Streamlinefeed) provides mathematical proof with the actual "6-11-11 year cycle" showing occurrences in 2015 and next in 2037, making your 823-year timeline mathematically impossible.
Source 1 (Grand Pinnacle Tribune) explicitly states that "NDTV's fact-checking team quickly debunked these assertions" about the 823-year claim, explaining that "the pattern is simply a recurring quirk of the calendar," while Source 10 (Streamlinefeed) provides concrete evidence that this alignment follows a predictable "6-11-11 year cycle" with the last occurrence in 2015 and the next in 2037. Source 12 (YouTube) confirms this mathematical reality by noting "The same pattern as February 2026, Sunday to Saturday, perfectly aligned, last occurred in 2015," proving the claim of 823-year rarity is fundamentally false and contradicted by the actual 11-year interval between occurrences.
You're treating the “823 years” claim as if it were a mathematical statement about the Sunday-to-Saturday 28‑day February grid, but the brief shows that figure is tied to the viral “MiracleIn” narrative itself—Source 3 (Boatos.org) explicitly asserts the 823‑year rarity, so your rebuttal only refutes a narrower interpretation rather than the motion's atomic claim that this configuration is described as “once every 823 years.” And your reliance on Source 10 (Streamlinefeed) and Source 12 (YouTube) is a category error: both discuss recurrence of the same calendar layout (2015/2037), which doesn't logically negate that the February 2026 configuration is being framed as an 823‑year rarity in circulated explanations (Source 3), it just shows that framing is contested (Source 1, Grand Pinnacle Tribune).
Jump into a live chat with the Proponent and the Opponent. Challenge their reasoning, ask your own questions, and investigate this topic on your terms.
The Adjudication
How each panelist evaluated the evidence and arguments
The most reliable sources in the pool are Source 2 (Gulf News, 2026-01-21) and Source 1 (Grand Pinnacle Tribune, 2026-02-02), both of which explicitly describe the “once every 823 years”/“MiracleIn” framing as a viral exaggeration and state it is not true for February 2026's calendar layout; other items that mention recurrence (e.g., Source 12 YouTube and Source 10 Streamlinefeed) are less authoritative but align with the refutation by noting similar February layouts occurred recently (e.g., 2015) rather than centuries apart. Because the only apparent “support” for 823 years (Source 3 Boatos.org) is low-authority and likely non-independent/possibly contextualizing a hoax, while higher-quality journalism sources directly refute the 823-year claim, the claim is false based on the best available evidence here.
The claim asserts an objective recurrence rate (“happens once every 823 years”), but the refuting evidence directly undercuts that by showing the same February Sunday-to-Saturday 28‑day layout occurred in 2015 and will recur in 2037 (Sources 12 YouTube; 10 Streamlinefeed), and that the “823 years” figure is a debunked viral exaggeration rather than a derived calendar fact (Sources 1 Grand Pinnacle Tribune; 2 Gulf News). Because even a single verified recurrence within 11 years logically falsifies a “once every 823 years” frequency, the claim is false; the proponent's reliance on Source 3 confuses “a rumor being repeated” with “a true recurrence interval.”
The claim omits that the “perfect February” (28-day February where each weekday occurs exactly four times) happens every non‑leap year, and the specific Sunday-start/Saturday-end layout recurs on a much shorter cycle (e.g., last in 2015 and next in 2037), with fact-checkers explicitly debunking the “823 years” virality as exaggeration (Sources 1 Grand Pinnacle Tribune/NDTV fact-check summary, 2 Gulf News, 12 YouTube; also 10 Streamlinefeed). With that context restored, the statement that February 2026's calendar configuration is a once-every-823-years rarity gives a fundamentally false overall impression even if some viral posts have claimed it (Source 3 Boatos.org reflects the meme, not a true recurrence rate).
Adjudication Summary
All three panels scored the claim very low. Higher-quality, independent reporting (notably Gulf News and other debunks) explicitly identifies “823 years/MiracleIn” as a viral exaggeration. The logic check notes that documented recurrences within decades (2015, 2037) directly falsify an 823-year frequency. The context check explains the framing trick: many non‑leap Februaries share the same 'perfect' 28‑day structure, so calling it ultra-rare is misleading.
Consensus
Sources
Sources used in the analysis
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