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Claim analyzed
Science“A study on Division 1 and Division 2 college football players found that the average Fat-Free Mass Index for offensive linemen was 25.1, indicating that an FFMI above 25 is naturally achievable for some athletes without the use of anabolic steroids.”
The conclusion
The claim contains two material errors that undermine its reliability. The stated average FFMI of 25.1 for offensive linemen does not match the peer-reviewed data, which reports approximately 24.8. More critically, the conclusion that FFMI above 25 is "naturally achievable without anabolic steroids" is unsupported because none of the cited collegiate football studies verified participants' drug-free status. While some individual players did exceed an FFMI of 25, this observation alone cannot establish natural achievement.
Based on 21 sources: 8 supporting, 3 refuting, 10 neutral.
Caveats
- The specific average FFMI figure of 25.1 for offensive linemen appears inaccurate; peer-reviewed sources from the same studies report approximately 24.8.
- None of the collegiate football studies cited conducted drug testing, so the claim that FFMI above 25 was achieved 'without anabolic steroids' is not verified by the evidence.
- FFMI calculations can vary depending on whether raw or height-adjusted ('normalized') values are used, and conflating these methods can shift group averages above or below the 25 threshold.
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Sources
Sources used in the analysis
An important finding of the current study was that 23 athletes (21%) had a FFMI above 25 kg · m−2 (range: 18.1 – 27.7 kg · m−2). This study demonstrates that an athlete’s upper limit for FFMI may extend well beyond 25 kg · m−2, and differences exist across positions for collegiate American football.
The current study evaluated upper limits for FFMI in collegiate American football players (n=235). Sixty-two participants (26.4%) had FFMI~Adj~ values above 25 kg·m−2, including 31.3% of Division I participants. The current findings demonstrate that collegiate American football players may realistically strive for FFMI values well beyond 25 kg·m−2.
The current study evaluated upper limits for FFMI in collegiate American football players (n = 235)... Differences were observed among position groups (p < 0.001; η = 0.25), with highest values observed in offensive linemen (OL) and defensive linemen (DL)... Sixty-two participants (26.4%) had height-adjusted FFMI values above 25 kg·m (mean = 23.7 ± 2.1 kg·m; 97.5th percentile = 28.1 kg·m). Upper limit estimations for FFMI seem to vary by position.
The normalized FFMI values of athletes who had not used steroids extended up to a well-defined limit of 25.0. Similarly, a sample of 20 Mr. America winners from the presteroid era (1939-1959), for whom we estimated the normalized FFMI, had a mean FFMI of 25.4. By contrast, the FFMI of many of the steroid users in our sample easily exceeded 25.0, and that of some even exceeded 30.
The overall mean FFMI was 23.50 ± 2.04 kg· m−2... FFMI was highest in linemen (24.8 ± 1.5 kg· m−2)... Our findings suggest that the upper limits for FFM accretion in male athletes may be higher than previously assumed, as the FFMI limit of 25 kg· m−2 underestimates that observed in American collegiate football players... current findings highlight that collegiate American football players have the potential to achieve FFMI values significantly exceeding 25 kg· m−2.
In an examination of 157 athletes, comprising 83 steroid users and 74 nonusers, we calculated normalized FFMI using height, weight, and body fat based on skinfold measurements. With this simple measurement, we found that athletes who had not used steroids all had values of <25.0, whereas a large proportion of steroid-using athletes easily exceeded this limit. It appears that FFMI may represent a useful initial measure to screen for possible steroid abuse.
According to earlier research FFMI is a height-adjusted assessment of fat-free mass (FFM), which is derived by dividing FFM (in kilograms) by height (in square meters). Further research suggested a natural upper limit of 25 kg·m2 in resistance trained male athletes. [The study evaluated collegiate football players and found evidence contradicting this limit.]
The overall mean FFMI was 23.50 ± 2.04 kg · m−2, with values ranging from 18.1–27.7 kg · m−2. FFMI was highest in linemen (24.8 ± 1.5 kg · m−2)...
The foundational FFMI study analyzed 157 male athletes and established that the natural upper limit for drug-free muscle development centers around an FFMI of 25. However, updated research (2000-2025) suggests that rare genetic outliers (top 0.1-0.5% of population) are capable of reaching FFMI 25-26 naturally with elite training and nutrition.
This study proposed that the natural FFMI limit in American collegiate football players is higher than 25 kg.m2 irrespective of which height adjustment equation was used. Mean FFMI greatly varied between different position groups... Division I players FFMI were observed to be higher than to Division II players.
Some documented natural athletes have achieved FFMI scores slightly above 25; Genetic variations in muscle fiber distribution and hormonal profiles. Current scientific consensus: While FFMI > 25 strongly suggests enhancement, achieving 24-25 naturally is possible but requires exceptional genetics.
Natural muscle potential exists on a bell curve, and genetic outliers can and do naturally exceed an FFMI of 25. This has been confirmed in other studies on drug-free athletes. The idea of a hard 'natural limit' at a 25 Fat-Free Mass Index (FFMI) stems from a misinterpretation of a single 1995 study.
Offensive linemen in both college and professional offensive football had the lowest LULLR. The low LULLR coupled with the high TULLR... suggests that the offensive linemen have a higher percentage of fat mass in their trunk and arms compared to the muscle mass of their legs.
For offensive linemen, the mean weight increased nearly 38 percent, while the control group experienced only a 12 percent increase.
For years, many believed that a natural (drug-free) lifter couldn't exceed an FFMI of 25. This idea came from a 1995 study that found none of their 74 drug-free gym-goers exceeded 25, while nearly half of steroid users did. In the years since this paper was published, people have started using the FFMI cutoff of 25 as an unofficial 'screening test' to identify steroid users.
Fat-free mass index (FFMI; kg/m2) is a height-adjusted assessment of FFM, which helps normalize values and improve generalizability for recommendations across sports. For strength and power athletes, upper limits of FFMI can be used to evaluate potential for FFM gain.
None of those natural lifters had FFMIs of over 25, but about half of the steroid users did. This suggests that most natural lifters don’t have an FFMI of over 25, but it says relatively little about what’s physically possible, especially when looking at outliers. The myth of the natty limit comes from an old Kouri study from 1995.
The seminal 1995 study by Kouri et al. analyzed 157 male athletes: 74 natural with normalized FFMI up to 25.0, and 83 steroid users often exceeding 25. The study proposed FFMI >25 as a strong indicator of steroid use, though it noted this as a statistical threshold, not an absolute limit, and called for further research on outliers.
Most female college athletes in strength-related sports had FFMI values around 20-22, but values up to (and beyond) 27 are possible. Of the 372 athletes, the 97.5th percentile was 23.9. However, values as high as 27.2 were observed! These results are fairly consistent with another recent paper by Blue et al (2019), which documented several female athletes in the low-20s, and maximal observed values above 25.
The researchers have conducted a study with 157 athletes – those who admittedly were steroid users (n=83) and those who weren’t (n=74) and calculated their FFMIs. They found that the average FFMI among users was 24.8±2.2 and among non-users – 21.8±1.8. The recommended cut-off score is 25 i.e. if someone’s FFMI is 25 or higher it’s very likely that they are steroid users (according to the authors).
Based on one single study in 1995, researchers gathered 157 people, 74 of whom were natural and the rest were drug-using athletes or have been using drugs in the past. The researchers reported that the highest FFMI found in the natural group was less than 25, whereas a large proportion of steroid-using athletes exceeded this limit.
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Expert review
How each expert evaluated the evidence and arguments
Expert 1 — The Logic Examiner
Sources 2/3 do support that NCAA Division I/II football players (especially linemen) include a nontrivial fraction with (height-adjusted) FFMI > 25, but they do not establish the claim's specific statistic that offensive linemen averaged 25.1, and they also do not provide the needed premise (verified nonuse of anabolic steroids) to infer that >25 was achieved naturally. Because the claim combines a likely incorrect numeric average with a causally stronger conclusion ("naturally achievable without steroids") that does not follow from observational FFMI distributions absent drug-status verification—especially given Kouri et al. (Sources 4/6) showing >25 strongly separates users from self-reported nonusers—the overall claim is misleading rather than logically proven true.
Expert 2 — The Context Analyst
The claim's framing omits two key caveats: the cited NCAA football papers report some individuals above 25 but do not verify drug-free status (so “without anabolic steroids” is not established), and the specific “average FFMI for offensive linemen was 25.1” appears inconsistent with reported linemen means around ~24.8 in the larger collegiate sample and summaries (Sources 5, 3). With that missing context restored, the study evidence supports that FFMI >25 occurs in collegiate linemen populations (Sources 1–3) but does not justify the stronger implication that >25 is confirmed naturally achievable without steroids, and the numeric average is likely wrong, so the overall claim is misleading.
Expert 3 — The Source Auditor
The highest-authority sources are Sources 1, 2, and 3 (PubMed Central and Duke Scholars, peer-reviewed publications from 2017 and 2024), which consistently report the mean FFMI for linemen at approximately 24.8 kg·m−2 — not 25.1 as the claim states — while Source 5 (Western Kentucky University Digital Commons, a credible academic repository) corroborates the 24.8 figure; the claim's specific numerical assertion of 25.1 is therefore unsupported by the very studies it appears to reference. The broader inference that FFMI above 25 is naturally achievable is partially supported by Sources 1 and 2 (which document individuals exceeding 25 in unverified drug-free populations), but is undermined by the high-authority Sources 4 and 6 (PubMed/Semantic Scholar, Kouri et al. 1995) which found no confirmed drug-free athlete exceeded 25.0, and none of the collegiate football studies conducted drug testing — meaning the claim's specific figure is factually wrong and its conclusion about natural achievability is only weakly supported by evidence that cannot rule out steroid use.
Expert summary
The arguments
Two AI advocates debated this claim using the research gathered.
Argument for
The NCAA Division I/II football study explicitly reports that offensive linemen had the highest position-group FFMI and that many players exceeded the 25 kg·m−2 threshold (e.g., 62 of 235 had height-adjusted FFMI >25), demonstrating that FFMI values beyond 25 occur in this athletic population (Source 2: “Fat-Free Mass Index in NCAA Division I and II Collegiate American Football Players”; corroborated by Source 3: Duke Scholars record of the same study). Moreover, a larger recent collegiate football sample likewise found substantial numbers above 25 and concluded the “upper limit… may extend well beyond 25,” so the empirical pattern across independent collegiate datasets supports the motion's inference that FFMI >25 is naturally achievable for at least some athletes and should not be treated as an absolute steroid-only cutoff (Source 1: “Fat-Free Mass Index in a Large Sample of Collegiate American Football Players”).
Your entire rebuttal sidesteps the core factual error I identified: the claim specifically states the average FFMI for offensive linemen was 25.1, yet Source 3 and Source 5 both clearly report that figure as approximately 24.8 — you cannot defend a claim's accuracy by citing the very sources that contradict its specific numerical assertion. Furthermore, you commit a glaring logical leap by treating the presence of high FFMI values in collegiate football populations as proof of natural achievement, when neither Source 1, Source 2, nor Source 3 conducted drug testing on participants — meaning, as Source 6 and Source 4 establish, steroid use among those exceeding 25 cannot be ruled out, making your inference that these values are "naturally achievable" entirely unsupported by the evidence you cite.
Argument against
The claim states the average FFMI for offensive linemen was 25.1, but this figure is directly contradicted by the actual data: Source 3 (Duke Scholars) and Source 5 (Western Kentucky University Digital Commons) both report the mean FFMI for linemen as approximately 24.8, not 25.1, meaning the claim's specific numerical assertion is factually inaccurate. Furthermore, Source 6 (Semantic Scholar) and Source 4 (PubMed) from the foundational Kouri et al. research establish that all non-steroid-using athletes fell below 25.0, and the collegiate football studies cited cannot rule out steroid use among their participants, undermining the claim's conclusion that an FFMI above 25 is "naturally achievable without anabolic steroids."
You're conflating a dispute over one reported mean with the study's actual upper-tail finding: even if some summaries list linemen around ~24.8 (Source 5), the Division I/II dataset still documents many individuals above 25 (62/235 >25 in Source 2; and “highest values observed in offensive linemen” with >25 cases in Source 3), so your “therefore the claim fails” move is a non sequitur. And your appeal to Kouri et al. as an absolute ceiling is cherry-picking a small, self-reported comparison sample (Sources 4/6) while ignoring that the newer football studies explicitly observe FFMI values beyond 25 and conclude the practical upper limit “may extend well beyond 25” (Source 1; Source 2), which directly undercuts your attempt to treat 25 as a hard natural cutoff even if those studies can't individually certify drug status.