Claim analyzed

Science

“A new data center in Utah will release waste heat and energy into the atmosphere each day equivalent to the energy of 23 atomic bombs.”

Submitted by Gentle Otter 1c6a

Mostly True
7/10

The headline number is broadly supported as a full-buildout energy-equivalence calculation, not a literal claim about explosions. Using the cited thermal load, 24 hours of operation comes out to roughly the energy of 23 Hiroshima-scale atomic bombs. But the figure is a projected maximum for full buildout, not a confirmed day-one or current daily release rate.

Caveats

  • This is an energy-equivalence analogy only; it does not mean nuclear-blast, radiation, or mushroom-cloud effects.
  • The 23-bomb figure is tied to projected full buildout and continuous operation, not the project's initial phases.
  • The exact count depends on which bomb yield is used; the reporting appears to assume a Hiroshima-scale bomb.

Sources

Sources used in the analysis

#1
Grow the Flow Utah 2026-05-07 | Press Release: Analysis Finds Box Elder Data Center Could Release as Much Heat as 23 Atomic Bombs Per Day

A preliminary analysis of the proposed Box Elder data center found that the combined thermal output of the facility and its associated natural gas power plant could release as much heat as 23 atomic bombs per day and could raise nighttime temperatures by 8℉-12℉ throughout Hansel Valley in Northern Utah. Because the power plant is 55% efficient, Davies estimates the project would generate a total thermal load of approximately 16 gigawatts (GW)—9 GW to power the data center and an additional 7-8 GW of waste heat. To put that scale into perspective, this is the energy footprint of 40,000 Walmart Supercenters, or 23 atomic bombs worth of energy dumped into this local environment every single day, Davies says.

#2
The Guardian 2026-05-13 | ‘Irresponsible’: backlash as Utah approves datacenter twice the size of Manhattan

The project, brought by “Shark Tank” TV personality Kevin O’Leary, would span 40,000 acres, demand 9 gigawatts of power once completed, and raise the state’s carbon emissions by 64 percent, according to estimates. The entire project will actually produce roughly 16 gigawatts of thermal energy, according to Davies. In this case, the Stratos project will release roughly 16 gigawatts of thermal energy into Hansel Valley, according to Davies. That trapped thermal load is the “equivalent of about 23 atom bombs’ worth of energy dumped into this local environment every single day,” Davies said.

#3
Tech Startups 2026-06-08 | Proposed Utah AI data center could generate heat equivalent to 23 Hiroshima bombs per day, physicist warns

His analysis estimates the project would generate an additional 7 to 8 gigawatts of waste heat, bringing the total thermal load to roughly 16 gigawatts. That thermal output formed the basis of his comparison to approximately 23 Hiroshima-scale atomic bombs’ worth of energy released over a 24-hour period. The comparison refers to energy output and heat generation rather than explosive force.

#4
Metro 2026-05-28 | This $1,000,000,000 AI data centre could dump 23 nuclear bombs worth of energy per day

One of the potentially largest data centers globally, known for its role in powering artificial intelligence, could release energy equivalent to 23 atomic bombs each day. Dr. Rob Davies, a physics professor at Utah State University, conveyed to Metro that the energy output from the planned campus and its power plant could mirror the explosive energy of 23 atomic bombs daily in the Hansel Valley. The Military Installation Development Authority (MIDA), the state agency overseeing the project, clarified to Metro that the site will not draw 9 gigawatts of energy initially and that the “23 atomic bombs per day” energy calculation referenced in recent reports is a full build-out projection, while the early-phase thermal load will be significantly smaller.

#5
Grist 2026-06-12 | Utah's fragile desert could feel like the Sahara if a massive AI data center gets built

The entire project will actually produce roughly 16 gigawatts of thermal energy, according to Davies. In this case, the Stratos project will release roughly 16 gigawatts of thermal energy into Hansel Valley, according to Davies. That trapped thermal load is the "equivalent of about 23 atom bombs’ worth of energy dumped into this local environment every single day," Davies said.

#6
Deseret News 2026-05-11 | Beyond data centers: Utah governor issues wake-up call on new Cold War contest over AI

Spencer Cox said a proposed Box Elder data center will be limited to 1.5 Gigawatts and 2,000 acres. But O’Leary’s proposed data center would be in a category of its own. At full buildout, it would cover 40,000 acres and consume between 7.5-9 gigawatts — or twice the amount of energy used by the entire state of Utah. Utah State University physicist Robert Davies calculated a data center this big, with a dry air cooling system, would produce another 7-8 gigawatts of “waste heat,” potentially warming Box Elder’s Hansel Valley by several degrees.

#7
KSL.com 2026-05-10 | Scientists raise concerns over hyperscale data center impact on ecology

Dr. Ben Abbott, a professor of ecology at Brigham Young University, and executive director of Grow the Flow, said large amounts of heat that would be created to generate up to 9 gigawatts of power at maximum scale could change the climate and ecology of the surrounding area around Box Elder County's Hansel Valley. “So in order for the power plant to give the data center 9 gigawatts, it's going to have to actually generate or burn through 16 gigawatts or so,” Davies explained. “So there's 7 or 8 gigawatts of waste heat from the power plant and then 9 gigawatts that gets used by the data center. All of that gets turned into heat and dumped into the valley. And that's very straightforward physics.”

#8
Futurism 2026-05-09 | New Data Center Equivalent to Setting Off 23 Nuclear Bombs Per Day, Professor Finds

On top of the nine gigawatts of power, the facility will produce another 7 to 8 gigawatts of energy in the form of waste heat, according to Robert Davies, a physics professor at Utah State University who shared his calculations with The Salt Lake Tribune. That brings its entire “thermal load” to a jaw-dropping 16 gigawatts. In a jaw-dropping illustration, Davies calculated that the project would be the “equivalent of about 23 atom bombs worth of energy dumped into this local environment every single day.”

#9
The Salt Lake Tribune (Facebook post) 2026-05-08 | A physics professor at USU explained that the 9 GW needed to power the data cent...

A physics professor at USU explained that the 9 GW needed to power the data center will produce an additional 7-8 GW of waste heat, adding up to a 16 GW total thermal load. It’s the “equivalent of about 23 atom bombs worth of energy dumped into this local environment every single day.”

#10
LinkedIn 2026-05-09 | Gary Kucher's Post - LinkedIn

The Stratos Project, a proposed AI data center in Hansel Valley, Utah spans 40,000 acres and could consume up to 9 gigawatts of electricity at full capacity. That’s roughly double what the entire state of Utah uses today. A Utah State University physics professor calculated the daily heat output would equal the energy of 23 Hiroshima atomic bombs but that heat releases slowly over 24 hours across 62 square miles through cooling systems. The anticipated heat load is 16GW thermal load a day.

#11
UNILAD Tech 2026-06-01 | Kevin O'Leary's Utah AI data centre could emit the heat of '23 atomic bombs' every day

However, Davies' analysis claims the finished site could be the "equivalent of about 23 atom bombs worth of energy dumped into this local environment every single day," according to what he told The Salt Lake Tribune. Reports have said the data centre could use up to nine gigawatts of power, with Davies estimating a further seven to eight gigawatts could be released as waste heat. That would bring the overall "thermal load" to around 16 gigawatts, according to the analysis.

#12
Andy Masley blog 2026-06-03 | Let's not compare data center heat exhaust to nuclear bombs

Expelling a gigawatt over a day generates 24 billion watt-hours of heat energy. The first ever nuclear bomb, detonated in the Trinity Test, released 27 billion watt-hours of heat energy. So a gigawatt data center releases as much heat energy into the surrounding air as a Trinity Test every single day. In the stories I’ve seen, the authors are assuming a 16 GW total thermal load will be added by this data center, 9 GW for the data center itself and an additional 7 GW expelled as waste heat by the gas turbines it uses to generate its electricity… 16 GW x 24 hours = 384 GWh, divided by 23 atom bombs gives 16.7 GWh per bomb… This is about the same as the Little Boy bomb dropped on Hiroshima.

#13
Gadget Review 2026-06-23 | The 23-Atomic-Bomb Valley: Why Utah's AI Data Center Is a Climate Disaster in the Making

Kevin O’Leary’s 40,000-acre data center would consume 9 gigawatts daily while dumping heat equivalent to 23 atomic bombs. Utah counties just approved a data center so massive it would consume more power than the entire state currently uses, dump the heat equivalent of 23 atomic bombs daily into high desert, and potentially increase local carbon emissions by 55%. Utah State University physicist Robert Davies calculated Stratos would dump 16 gigawatts of thermal load into the surrounding valley—energy equivalent to 23 Hiroshima-scale atomic bombs worth of heat every single day.

#14
FOX 13 News (via Instagram) 2026-05-08 | HEAT RELEASE- A Utah State University physics professor ...

HEAT RELEASE- A Utah State University physics professor claims the proposed Box Elder County data center could release heat equaling "23 atomic bombs" per day, while possibly raising temperatures throughout the day. In analysis shared by Grow the Flow, a nonprofit organization aimed at conserving Utah water, Dr. Rob Davies shared how the actual amount of thermal load produced by the data center is nearly twice as much as the project's developer claimed.

#15
Tom's Hardware 2026-05-08 | New AI data center in Utah will generate and consume more power than the entire state

Utah's Military Installation Development Authority (MIDA) on Friday approved a development agreement for a hyperscale data center campus in Box Elder County that could eventually consume 9 GW of power, more than double the state's current average electricity use of roughly 4 GW, according to the Salt Lake Tribune. Phase 1 alone calls for approximately 3 GW of generation capacity. At full buildout, the campus would reach 9 GW, all produced on-site through a connection to the Ruby Pipeline, a 680-mile interstate natural gas line that crosses northern Utah on its route from Wyoming to Oregon.

#16
Techworm (via Facebook) 2026-05-09 | Utah's Massive AI Data Center Sparks Concerns Over Huge Energy Demand

Concerns grew after researchers estimated the project’s combined energy use and waste heat could equal the energy output of roughly "23 atomic bombs per day." Experts say this comparison refers to accumulated heat energy over time, not actual explosions.

#17
Environmental advocacy Instagram account 2026-05-09 | Utah's proposed AI data center will produce heat ...

Utah’s proposed AI data center will produce heat equivalent to 23 atomic bombs every single day. An additional 7 to 8 gigawatts of waste heat will be dumped directly into Hansel Valley. Utah State University physics professor Robert Davies calculated the total thermal load at 16 gigawatts. “That’s the equivalent of about 23 atom bombs worth of energy dumped into this local environment every single day,” he said.

#18
Instagram 2026-05-09 | A proposed AI data center in Utah would release thermal ...

A proposed AI data center in Utah would release thermal energy equivalent to 23 atomic bombs. The proposed 'Stratos' data center in Utah’s Box Elder County represents a staggering leap in industrial scale, with developers planning a facility that requires nine gigawatts of electricity—more than twice the power currently used by the entire state. Beyond its energy consumption, the project is expected to generate seven to eight gigawatts of waste heat, creating a combined thermal load of 16 gigawatts. To put this in perspective, Utah State University physicist Robert Davies calculates the daily energy output is equivalent to detonating 23 atomic bombs.

#19
FOX 13 News Utah (Facebook post) 2026-05-08 | A Utah State University physics professor says the ...

A Utah State University physics professor says the proposed Box Elder County data center could release heat equaling "23 atomic bombs" PER DAY, while possibly raising temperatures throughout the morning and night.

#20
LinkedIn 2026-06-03 | Cooking the Salt Lake: Data Center to Drop 23 Atom Bombs of Heat

Stratos will dump another 7 to 8 GW of waste heat directly into the Hansel Valley geographic bowl. Davies calculates this creates a 16 GW thermal load on a high desert environment, the "equivalent of about 23 atom bombs worth of energy dumped into this local environment every single day." The new "hyperscale" data center proposal was calculated to dump the thermal equivalent of 23 atomic bombs every day into a watershed that is already collapsing.

#21
The Nerd Stash 2026-05-09 | ‘23 Atom Bombs Worth of Heat Every Day’: Experts Warn Massive Utah AI Data Center Could Damage Ecosystem

The facility will allegedly produce thermal energy equivalent to “23 atom bombs worth of heat every day.” The project is expected to require roughly 9 gigawatts of power — an amount reportedly equivalent to more than double Utah’s peak electricity demand recorded in 2025. Experts warn that the combined waste heat and operational energy could significantly alter the local environment.

#22
YouTube 2026-05-09 | Can 1 data center release 23 atomic bombs of heat every day?

All that electricity turns into heat. To power it off-grid, they have to build massive natural gas plants. Those are only about 50% efficient, generating another 8 gigawatts of waste heat. That gives us 17 gigawatts of continuous heat. Over 24 hours, that adds up to 1,468 terajoules of energy. The Hiroshima atomic bomb released exactly 63 terajoules. Divide 1,468 by 63 and the daily equivalent of detonated atomic bombs is 23.

#23
The Daily Note (Facebook page) 2026-05-10 | BREAKING: Scientists warn a 60-square-mile "hyperscale" data ...

The Stratos project, backed by Kevin O'Leary, aims to generate 9 gigawatts of power, but experts say the thermal footprint is unprecedented. Heat Island Effect: Physicists estimate the facility will dump ~16 gigawatts of waste heat, raising local temperatures by 8°C (14.4°F) and potentially 20°C+ during inversions. They compare this continuous thermal output to the energy of multiple atomic bombs released over each day.

#24
Reddit 2026-06-10 | New data center emits heat equivalent to 23 nuclear bombs - every day. How much will the electricity cost for air conditioning?

Now, Utah is facing the prospect of a new hyperscale data center that will produce an astounding 16 gigawatts of energy in the form of waste heat and emissions every single day. Over a 24-hour period, the equivalent of 23 Hiroshima bombs’ worth of energy will seep into Utah’s Box Elder Valley, an area already known for its oppressive heat.

#25
Reddit 2026-05-09 | [Request] Does the “23 atomic bombs worth of heat every day” claim hold up?

Since computers essentially function as very intricate space heaters, nearly all that energy converts into heat, resulting in 9 GW of thermal output. With gas turbines operating at only about 50% to 55% efficiency, they will produce around 8 GW of waste heat just to create the electricity. This leads to a total heat output of approximately 17 GW. Over a full day, that amounts to roughly 1,468 terajoules of energy. For context, the Hiroshima bomb has a yield of 15 kilotons TNT, which equals 63 TJ. By dividing our daily output of 1,468 TJ by 63, we find that the facility could theoretically produce the equivalent of 23.3 Hiroshima bombs each day.

#26
Reddit 2026-05-09 | Size of Proposed Utah Hyperscale Data Center Compared to Seattle (and local impacts)

It is anticipated that the facility will produce 7 to 8 gigawatts of heat, potentially raising local nighttime temperatures by 12°F and daytime temperatures by 5°F—equivalent to the thermal energy output of 23 nuclear bombs daily—while contributing to a 75% increase in Utah's greenhouse gas emissions.

#27
Reddit 2026-05-08 | Utah mega datacenter could dump 23 atomic bombs worth ...

The land it occupies receives daily solar energy equivalent to more than 70 Hiroshima bombs, even after accounting for atmospheric losses. This amounts to approximately one nuclear detonation every 62.6 minutes when distributed evenly throughout a 24-hour period, used as a comparison point for the proposed data center’s heat output and its "23 atomic bombs" analogy.

#28
Hacker News 2026-05-09 | Projected daily heat equivalent to 23 atomic bombs

Projected daily heat equivalent to 23 atomic bombs… the energy footprint of the proposed data center is comparable to 40,000 Walmart Supercenters. Commenters note that “23 atomic bombs per day does not really tell me much,” pointing out that equal energy does not mean equal effects, just as both a boxer’s punch and a 9mm bullet have about 450 J of energy but very different impacts.

Full Analysis

Debate

Two AI advocates debated this claim using the research gathered.

Argument for

P
Proponent Argues TRUE

Utah State University physicist Dr. Robert Davies, cited across highly authoritative sources including The Guardian (Source 2), Grist (Source 5), and Grow the Flow Utah (Source 1), calculated that the proposed Box Elder data center's combined 16-gigawatt thermal load — 9 GW consumed by the data center plus 7–8 GW of waste heat from its 55%-efficient natural gas plant — equals the energy of 23 atomic bombs released into Hansel Valley every single day. This figure is independently verified by multiple physics analyses, including a Reddit calculation (Source 25) that divides the facility's 1,468 daily terajoules by the Hiroshima bomb's 63 TJ yield to arrive at precisely 23.3 bombs, confirming that the claim is mathematically sound and consistently supported across more than a dozen independent sources.

O
Opponent Rebuttal

The Proponent's reliance on Dr. Davies' 16 GW full-buildout calculation across Sources 1, 2, and 5 overlooks the explicit clarification in Source 4 (Metro) that the Military Installation Development Authority has stated this projection applies only at full scale while early-phase thermal load remains significantly smaller. The Proponent further compounds the error by treating the Source 25 Reddit arithmetic as independent verification when it merely restates the same energy-total equivalence already shown in Source 12 to ignore the distinction between instantaneous bomb yields and gradual 24-hour dissipation over 62 square miles.

Argument against

O
Opponent Argues FALSE

The claim rests on an unconfirmed full-buildout projection of 9 GW power draw and 16 GW thermal load that the Military Installation Development Authority has explicitly stated will not apply initially and whose early-phase output is significantly smaller, according to Source 4 (Metro). This energy-equivalence analogy further collapses because it equates gradual 24-hour heat dissipation across 62 square miles with instantaneous bomb yields, a distortion already flagged by the math in Source 12 (Andy Masley blog) and the far larger daily solar input noted in Source 27 (Reddit).

P
Proponent Rebuttal

The Opponent's reliance on Source 4's clarification about early-phase output is a red herring, as the claim explicitly concerns full-buildout projections — a framing consistently maintained across Sources 1, 2, 5, 7, and 8, all of which attribute the 16 GW thermal load figure to Dr. Davies as a projection of the completed facility, not its initial phase. The Opponent's second objection commits the fallacy of irrelevant comparison: Source 12 itself confirms the underlying arithmetic is valid (16 GW × 24 hours ÷ 16.7 GWh per bomb ≈ 23 bombs), and the claim, as stated in Sources 3 and 16, explicitly refers to accumulated heat energy over time rather than instantaneous explosive force, meaning the analogy is mathematically sound and properly qualified.


Panel Review

3 specialized AI experts evaluated the evidence and arguments.

Reviewer 1 — The Logic Examiner

Focus: Inferential Soundness & Fallacies
True
10/10

The logical chain from the evidence to the claim is sound, as multiple sources (including Sources 1, 2, 3, 12, and 25) verify the mathematical equivalence between a 16-gigawatt daily thermal load and the heat energy of 23 Hiroshima-scale atomic bombs (approximately 1,468 terajoules). While the comparison is an analogy of total energy rather than explosive force, and represents a full-buildout projection rather than the initial phase, the claim itself is logically and mathematically true under these specified parameters.

Confidence: 10/10

Reviewer 2 — The Source Auditor

Focus: Source Reliability & Independence
Mostly True
7/10

The most reliable sources in this pool are The Guardian (Source 2), Grist (Source 5), Deseret News (Source 6), KSL.com (Source 7), and Futurism (Source 8), all of which consistently attribute the '23 atomic bombs' figure to Dr. Robert Davies, a Utah State University physicist, based on a 16 GW total thermal load calculation (9 GW consumed + 7-8 GW waste heat). The Andy Masley blog (Source 12) independently verifies the arithmetic is correct: 16 GW × 24 hours = 384 GWh, divided by ~16.7 GWh per Hiroshima bomb ≈ 23 bombs. Source 4 (Metro) introduces an important caveat from MIDA that the 23-bomb figure applies only at full buildout, not initial phases, and the claim as stated does not specify a timeline. The claim is essentially a mathematical analogy about energy equivalence at full buildout, which is confirmed by multiple credible, independent sources including a major international newspaper (The Guardian) and a respected environmental outlet (Grist), with the physics independently verified. The claim is accurate as a full-buildout projection and the energy math checks out, though it is an analogy comparing cumulative heat dissipation to instantaneous bomb yields, which is a legitimate energy-equivalence comparison explicitly qualified as such in Sources 3 and 16. The claim is mostly true with the caveat that it refers to full-buildout projections and is an energy analogy, not a literal comparison to explosions.

Weakest sources

Source 24 is a Reddit post with no original reporting or expert attribution, making it an unreliable secondary amplifier of the claim.Source 26 is a Reddit post that introduces an unsourced figure of a '75% increase in Utah's greenhouse gas emissions' not found in more authoritative sources, undermining its reliability.Source 17 is an anonymous environmental advocacy Instagram account with no identified author or institutional affiliation, making it a low-credibility source.Source 23 is a Facebook page post from 'The Daily Note' with no clear editorial standards or institutional accountability.Source 14 is an Instagram post from FOX 13 News that provides no original analysis and simply amplifies the claim without independent verification.
Confidence: 7/10

Reviewer 3 — The Precision Analyst

Focus: Claim Precision & Quantitative Accuracy
Mixed
6/10

Multiple sources attribute to USU physicist Robert Davies a full-buildout estimate that the project's combined thermal load is roughly 16 GW and that, integrated over 24 hours, this is “equivalent of about 23 atom/atomic bombs' worth of energy dumped into this local environment every single day” (Sources 1, 2, 5, 8, 9, 11). However, the claim as written states unqualifiedly that “a new data center in Utah will” do this each day, while at least one source notes the 23-bombs figure is a full build-out projection and that early-phase thermal load will be significantly smaller (Source 4), making the claim overstated as a present-tense daily certainty rather than a conditional maximum-case projection.

Precision issues

The claim omits that the “23 atomic bombs per day” figure is described in the evidence as a full build-out projection rather than the initial/near-term operating condition.The claim's wording “will release … each day” states a certainty, while the evidence supports at most “could” or “at full buildout could,” which is a materially weaker and more conditional scope.The claim does not specify which “atomic bomb” yield is being used (e.g., Hiroshima/Little Boy vs Trinity), and the evidence uses varying labels, so the numeric equivalence cannot be uniquely verified without that definition.
Confidence: 7/10

Panel summary

See the full panel summary

Create a free account to read the complete analysis.

Sign up free
The claim is
Mostly True
7/10
Confidence: 8/10 Spread: 4 pts

Your annotation will be visible after submission.

Embed this verification

Every embed carries schema.org ClaimReview microdata — recognized by Google and AI crawlers.

Mostly True · Lenz Score 7/10 Lenz
“A new data center in Utah will release waste heat and energy into the atmosphere each day equivalent to the energy of 23 atomic bombs.”
28 sources · 3-panel audit · Verified Jul 2026
See full report on Lenz →