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Finance“In 2025, the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission found that Coles Group and Woolworths Group were among the most profitable supermarket businesses compared with their international competitors.”
Submitted by Brave Whale ebac
The conclusion
Open in workbench →The claim matches the ACCC's published 2025 conclusion. In its final supermarkets inquiry report, the regulator said Coles and Woolworths were among the most profitable supermarket businesses relative to international peers. The main caveat is that this was a comparative profitability finding, not a finding of price gouging or proof that every profitability metric was highest in the world.
Caveats
- The ACCC's finding was about comparative profitability among global peers, not about every single profit measure pointing in the same direction.
- High profitability does not mean the ACCC found illegal conduct or price gouging; the report stopped short of that accusation.
- The ACCC's wording was typically that Coles and Woolworths were 'among' the most profitable, not definitively the single most profitable.
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Sources
Sources used in the analysis
The ACCC’s final report says Australian supermarkets appear highly profitable by international standards. It states that ALDI, Coles and Woolworths "appear to be among the most profitable supermarket businesses worldwide" and that their product and profit margins increased over the past five financial years.
The final report for the ACCC's supermarkets inquiry has made 20 recommendations after finding that **ALDI, Coles and Woolworths are some of the most profitable supermarket businesses among global peers** and their average product margins have increased over the past five financial years.
The ACCC’s final report found **Australian supermarkets appear highly profitable when compared with their international peers**, ranking among the highest in their peer group. ALDI’s, **Coles’ and Woolworths’ average earnings before interest and tax margins were noted to be “among the highest of supermarket businesses in relevant comparator countries”**. Average net profit after tax margins were similar to Walmart in the United States, Dutch-Belgian Ahold Delhaise, and Tesco in the United Kingdom, but below Canada’s Loblaw supermarkets.
The ACCC’s supermarkets inquiry final report, released in March 2025, states in its summary section: "ALDI, Coles and Woolworths increased their average product margins over the last 5 financial years" and under key findings notes: "ALDI, Coles and Woolworths appear among the most profitable supermarket businesses globally." This is based on ACCC analysis of multiple profitability metrics compared with selected international peers.
The ACCC’s supermarkets inquiry final report (2024–25), released on 21 March 2025, examined profitability and margins of major Australian supermarket chains including Woolworths, Coles and ALDI in comparison with international peers.[1] A Treasury explanatory statement summarising the findings notes that "despite facing higher input costs, Australian supermarkets, including Woolworths and Coles, increased their profitability over this period" and that the industry is an oligopoly dominated by Woolworths and Coles.[8] The statement also records that grocery prices rose rapidly over the last five financial years while margins remained elevated, indicating strong profitability relative to a more competitive market.[8]
Australia's competition watchdog says **Coles and Woolworths are among the most profitable supermarkets in the world**, but admits that little can be done to curb their market dominance. The ACCC has handed its report on Australia's supermarket sector to the Government.
Australia's two largest supermarket chains, **Woolworths Group Ltd. and Coles Group Ltd., control such a large swathe of the market that there's little incentive for them to compete**, according to the nation's competition regulator. The Australian Competition & Consumer Commission said in a report released Friday that **ALDI, Coles and Woolworths are some of the most profitable supermarket businesses among global peers**, and their average product margins have increased over the past five financial years.
A report by the ACCC earlier this year found that **Australian supermarkets were among the most profitable in the world**. The inquiry into Australia’s supermarkets looked at how prices have changed and how profitable the supermarkets are compared to international competitors.
Reporting on the ACCC’s final supermarkets inquiry report, Guardian Australia notes: "Australian Competition Consumer Commission (ACCC) determined that these major chains, alongside the discount competitor Aldi, rank among the most lucrative supermarket enterprises globally." It adds that "After evaluating three different profit metrics, the ACCC concluded that Coles, Woolworths, and Aldi 'appear to be among the most profitable supermarket businesses worldwide.'"
The ACCC has found that **Coles and Woolworths are among the most profitable supermarket chains in the world** and have so much power that they don't need to compete hard on price. Deputy Chair Catriona Lowe says the inquiry compared the profitability of the big Australian supermarkets with **relevant comparator countries** and found their margins to be high by international standards.
The Sydney Morning Herald, summarising the ACCC report to be released on Friday, writes: "The report from the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, to be released on Friday, shows without more substantial rivals, the stranglehold enjoyed by Coles and Woolworths over the nation’s shoppers will intensify, delivering them higher profit margins." It quotes directly from the report: "‘Aldi, Coles and Woolworths appear to be among the most profitable supermarket businesses globally,’ it found." It further notes: "Woolworths, Aldi and Coles’ profit margins are on the upper end when compared to global peers, the report found. Only Canadian franchise supermarkets retailer Loblaw is more profitable…"
On 21 March 2025, the ACCC released its **Supermarkets Inquiry Final Report**. The Final Report found that, despite facing higher input costs, **Australian supermarkets, including Woolworths and Coles, increased their profitability** over the last five financial years. It also noted that the supermarket industry is an oligopoly dominated by Woolworths and Coles, whose market positions are entrenched. The report drew on analysis of **profitability and margins compared with international supermarket businesses**.
The final report for the ACCC’s supermarkets inquiry has made 20 recommendations **after finding an increase in average profit margins over the past five financial years**. It also found that **ALDI, Coles and Woolworths are some of the most profitable supermarket businesses among global peers**, with average product margins having increased over the past five financial years.
The Conversation’s analysis of the ACCC supermarkets inquiry explains: "The final report from the ACCC indicates that Australian supermarkets show high levels of profitability when compared to their international counterparts." It states that "The average earnings before interest and tax margins for ALDI, Coles, and Woolworths were identified as among the [highest] of supermarket [chains] in relevant nations." It adds that their "average net profit margins after tax were found to be comparable to Walmart in the United States, Ahold Delhaise in the Netherlands and Belgium, and Tesco in the United Kingdom, though slightly lower than Canada's Loblaw supermarkets."
The interim report of the **Supermarkets inquiry 2024–2025** sets out the ACCC’s approach to analysing profitability and margins. One of the objectives is to "**draw out any useful comparisons between the profitability of Coles and Woolworths and their international peers**" and to assess whether Australian supermarkets’ profitability is high relative to international comparators.
Finance-focused coverage of the ACCC report notes that the investigation "highlighted that ALDI, Coles, and Woolworths exhibit significantly higher profitability levels compared to their global peers, with a notable increase in average product margins over the five fiscal years leading up to 2025."[11] The article also cites ACCC figures that Woolworths commands 38% of the national grocery market and Coles 29%, underscoring their market power and profitability.[11]
A Proactive Investors article on the ACCC report states that "the big two supermarkets, Coles and Woolworths, have once again come under scrutiny" and that the watchdog found both chains "have limited incentive to compete on price and continue to maintain strong earnings margins."[12] It reports that "the ACCC estimated Woolworths takes in 38% of supermarket grocery sales, while Coles controls 29%" and that both increased their product margins over the past five years, contributing to higher earnings margins despite cost pressures.[12]
In a supplementary submission to the ACCC interim report, Woolworths Group argues that its profitability is not excessive, stating: "The profitability of Woolworths Group including its Australian Food business is not unreasonably high and is proportional to the size of Woolworths’ business, on any metric." It cites the ACCC interim report: "The Interim Report acknowledges that ‘when profitability is considered with reference to a company’s return on capital, Coles and Woolworths do not appear significantly more profitable than international peers’." This highlights that different metrics (return on capital vs margins) can yield different views of relative profitability.
An ABC-style news clip posted to YouTube reports on the ACCC findings: "the ACCC has found Woolworths and Coles rank among the world's most profitable supermarket chains, with profit margins increasing since the pandemic." The segment notes that following a year-long inquiry, the ACCC recommends transparency measures and reforms, and that the report "found no clear evidence of price gouging" despite accusations, while confirming their high profitability relative to global peers.
A YouTube explainer on the ACCC report states that the "final report in February 2025... found that Coles, Woolworths, and Aldi are among the most profitable supermarket businesses globally when compared against international peers." It adds: "Their average earnings before interest and tax margins ranked among the highest in relevant comparator countries" and that "their average product margins... increased over each of the previous five financial years." The video quotes the ACCC as explicit that some grocery price increases "resulted in additional profits for the supermarkets" beyond cost pass-through.
The ACCC’s supermarkets inquiry compared the profitability of **Coles Group and Woolworths Group** with that of major international supermarket chains such as Walmart, Ahold Delhaize, Tesco and Loblaw. According to coverage of the final report, **earnings before interest and tax margins for ALDI, Coles and Woolworths were among the highest of supermarket businesses in relevant comparator countries**, and net profit margins were similar to or higher than several of these international peers.
In its public submission to the ACCC groceries inquiry, Coles Group discloses financial metrics: "In FY23, Coles achieved operating revenues of over $40 billion, but its net profit after tax (NPAT) was just over $1 billion or 2.57%. Put another way, for every $100 of operating revenue, Coles makes just over $2.50 of net profit after tax." These figures are among the data points used by the ACCC when comparing margins and profitability with international supermarket chains.
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Debate
Two AI advocates debated this claim using the research gathered.
Argument for
The ACCC's March 2025 final report directly concludes that Coles and Woolworths appear among the most profitable supermarket businesses globally when compared with international peers, as stated in Source 1 (ACCC), Source 2 (ACCC), Source 4 (Australian Competition and Consumer Commission), and Source 9 (The Guardian). This determination rests on multiple profitability metrics analyzed against comparator countries and is consistently affirmed in Source 3 (Evening Report), Source 6 (ABC News), Source 7 (Bloomberg), and Source 11 (The Sydney Morning Herald).
The Proponent's argument relies on a selective reading of the final report's conclusions while ignoring critical nuances in the underlying data metrics. Specifically, Source 18 reveals that the ACCC acknowledged Coles and Woolworths do not appear significantly more profitable than international peers when evaluated by return on capital, while Source 3 and Source 14 confirm their net profit margins were merely similar to Walmart, Tesco, and Ahold Delhaize, and actually fell below Canada's Loblaw.
Argument against
The claim is misleading because the ACCC's interim report acknowledged that when profitability is evaluated using return on capital rather than profit margins, Coles and Woolworths do not appear significantly more profitable than their international peers, as detailed in Source 18. Furthermore, Source 3 and Source 14 demonstrate that their net profit after tax margins were merely similar to global competitors like Walmart, Tesco, and Ahold Delhaize, and actually fell below those of Canada's Loblaw.
The Opponent relies on the interim report in Source 18 while ignoring the final report's explicit conclusions in Sources 1, 2, and 4 that ALDI, Coles and Woolworths appear among the most profitable supermarket businesses globally on multiple metrics. The Opponent cherry-picks net profit after tax similarities from Sources 3 and 14, failing to account for the ACCC's primary findings on elevated earnings before interest and tax margins that ranked among the highest versus international peers.
Panel Review
3 specialized AI experts evaluated the evidence and arguments.
Reviewer 1 — The Logic Examiner
The ACCC's final report in March 2025 explicitly concluded that Coles and Woolworths (alongside ALDI) are among the most profitable supermarket businesses globally when compared to international peers, as documented in Sources 1, 2, 4, and 7. While different metrics like return on capital show less divergence, the claim accurately reflects the ACCC's official comparative findings.
Reviewer 2 — The Source Auditor
The most reliable sources are the ACCC final report documents (Sources 1, 2, 4) and corroborating coverage from ABC News, Bloomberg, and The Guardian, all of which explicitly confirm that the ACCC found ALDI, Coles and Woolworths among the most profitable supermarket businesses globally on multiple metrics including EBIT margins. The claim is directly supported by these authoritative, independent sources despite nuances in the interim report on return-on-capital metrics.
Reviewer 3 — The Precision Analyst
The claim's scope and comparative wording (“among the most profitable… compared with their international competitors”) matches the ACCC's March 2025 final report language that ALDI, Coles and Woolworths “appear to be among the most profitable supermarket businesses worldwide/among global peers” based on international comparisons (Sources 1, 2, 4). While some metrics discussed elsewhere show only similarity or mixed results (e.g., NPAT margins similar to some peers and below Loblaw, and an interim-report nuance about return on capital), the claim does not specify a single metric and is consistent with the ACCC's overall final-report finding as stated (Sources 3, 14, 18).