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Claim analyzed
Finance“Entrepreneurship creates jobs with higher average wages than wage employment in the same labor market.”
Submitted by Nimble Crane 28d0
The conclusion
Open in workbench →The evidence points in the opposite direction. Research that directly examines wages paid by startups and young/small firms generally finds lower average pay than at established employers in the same labor market. The claim appears to substitute entrepreneurs' own income for employee wages, but those are different measures and do not support the stated conclusion.
Caveats
- Do not confuse entrepreneurs' personal income with the wages paid to employees at entrepreneurial firms.
- Average self-employment income is skewed by a small number of very high earners, so it is not a reliable proxy for typical outcomes.
- Young and small firms may create many jobs, but job creation does not imply those jobs pay higher wages.
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Sources
Sources used in the analysis
IRS Statistics of Income tables provide official tax-record data on income sources, including wage and salary income and self-employment income. These administrative records are the type of primary source commonly used to compare earnings across self-employed and wage-employed taxpayers.
In new research, Minneapolis Fed consultants Anmol Bhandari and Ellen McGrattan and coauthors used an extensive administrative dataset of IRS and Social Security records. Across the full sample of taxpayers between 2000 and 2015, workers classified as primarily self-employed had an average annual income of almost 60 percent more than paid-employed workers. By age 55, the average annual income for a worker who had tried self-employment was nearly twice as large as for a paid-employed worker.
This paper uses the 2004–2016 Health and Retirement Study linked to administrative earnings records and finds substantially more self-employment income in the survey than in the administrative data. It also reports that the estimated self-employment rate is 25.4 percent in the HRS compared with 15.1 percent in the DER, and notes that self-employment income is under-identified in both administrative earnings records and major household surveys.
Our results confirm prior research showing that firm size is positively associated with wages: workers at larger firms earn more, on average, than workers at smaller firms. We also find that firm size is positively associated not only with higher wages, but also with greater employment security during the COVID-19 crisis.
The study defines and measures ‘hard’ job quality (e.g., wages, working hours, physical environment) and ‘soft’ job quality (e.g., autonomy, relationships) for wage workers and examines their impact on health. It finds: “the level of the overall health of wage workers was increased as the hard and soft quality of jobs was increased… The standardized beta coefficients of hard job quality and soft job quality were 0.316 and 0.079, respectively, confirming that the effect of hard job quality was about 4 times stronger than the soft job quality on the overall health of workers.” Although this paper focuses on employees rather than entrepreneurs, it provides a framework and empirical evidence on wage and non‑wage job quality dimensions in paid employment that are often compared to conditions in entrepreneurial jobs.
The NBER working paper version of the study documents that new firms pay wages about 26 percent lower in the sample, but the apparent gap is largely explained by differences in worker quality and observable characteristics. The paper concludes that, for a given worker who has job opportunities at similar-quality firms, the expected wage penalty of working at a new firm is economically insignificant on average.
“Startups create good jobs. Startups pay starting salaries that exceed the area’s average wage. In 2021, startups paid an average of $73,190 in starting wages compared with the average wage of $65,525.” ... “In 2021, average wages in tech firms in Kansas City start 42% higher than the average wage ($100,690 vs. $65,525). The tech startup average wage, non-tech startup average wage, all startup average wage and all establishments average wage are compared in the graph below, along with the living wage and poverty wage.”
This 2025 study examines wages and broader job quality in B Corporations, many of which are young or mission‑driven entrepreneurial firms: “This research has focused on identifying, characterizing, and classifying relationships between elements of jobs and worker well-being, encompassing not only wages and benefits but also scheduling, advancement opportunities, and worker voice.” The authors report mixed findings: some certified B Corps offer above‑market wages and strong benefits, but on average “wage levels are not uniformly higher than those of comparable firms in the same sectors,” suggesting that mission‑oriented entrepreneurship does not automatically translate into higher average pay relative to traditional wage employment.
The paper compares labor-market outcomes across employment types and countries and provides context on the prevalence of self-employment versus wage employment. It states that own-account workers account for only about 5% of employment in the United States, while wage and salary workers account for about 85% of employment.
“Self-employed workers have significantly higher average incomes and steeper, more persistent income growth profiles than their paid-employed counterparts.” “By age 55, the self-employed earn an estimated average income of $134,000 compared to $79,000 for paid-employed workers with similar characteristics. This pattern holds across various subgroups defined by industry, skill level, and demographic attributes.”
Using linked payroll and tax records, this paper studies earnings differences between self-employed and wage-employed workers. The research emphasizes that self-employed earnings are highly dispersed and that the average can mask substantial inequality, with a small share of self-employed workers accounting for a disproportionate share of self-employment income.
We compare the earnings trajectories of individuals who take jobs at startups with those of similar workers who take jobs at established firms in the same local labor markets. Although startup employees initially earn slightly less than their peers at established firms, their earnings grow more quickly. By 10 years after the job change, startup employees, on average, earn more than comparable workers who joined established firms.
The paper examines the cross-sectional distribution of labor earnings for workers in paid employment and for the self-employed, using cross-country data. It is directly relevant to comparisons between self-employment and wage employment, focusing on how institutional settings and labor-market conditions affect relative pay.
Haltiwanger, Jarmin, and Miranda analyse US employer data to distinguish job creation by young and small firms from that by more established employers. They find that young firms (a proxy for entrepreneurial businesses) are responsible for a disproportionate share of gross job creation. However, in discussing job quality, they note that “employment at young and small firms tends to be associated with lower average wages and greater volatility than employment at more mature firms,” indicating that the jobs created by entrepreneurship are not generally higher‑wage than those in incumbent firms in the same labour market, even though they contribute significantly to net employment growth.
The abstract states: “This paper analyses the importance of entrepreneurs in terms of job creation and wage growth. Relying on unique data that cover all establishments, we investigate how much of aggregate job creation can be attributed to entrepreneurial firms and how wages develop in these firms compared with other firms.” The description indicates that the study evaluates both employment creation and wage dynamics in entrepreneurial firms relative to non-entrepreneurial firms in the same economy, but the abstract page does not give specific wage level comparisons in numeric terms.
Hamilton and co‑authors review empirical evidence on the earnings of self‑employed entrepreneurs relative to comparable wage workers. The paper concludes that “a large fraction of entrepreneurs earn less than they would in paid employment with similar characteristics,” and many accept this earnings discount in exchange for non‑pecuniary benefits such as autonomy. While the focus is on the earnings of entrepreneurs themselves rather than their employees, the findings challenge the notion that entrepreneurship is systematically associated with higher monetary rewards than wage employment in the same labour markets.
Average monthly earnings of employees in 2011 also favored the established firms. With over $3,200 per month, the only group to come in above the all-firm average of $3,100 was the group with companies 11 years or older. The newest companies had the lowest average monthly earnings with $2,116 – 55 percent less than the oldest firms.
The paper notes: “Therefore, unincorporated self-employment has both advantages and disadvantages compared to wage employment, facilitating the transition between these two states.” While the main focus is on the impact of minimum wages on nonemployer (self-employed) businesses, the discussion highlights that self-employment and wage employment differ in earnings risk and flexibility; however, the paper does not provide a general statement that self-employment earnings are always higher than those of wage employment in the same labor market.
For the typical worker, the smaller the employer, the lower the pay. The median worker at the smallest businesses, those with fewer than 20 employees, makes about $21,000 less than the median worker at companies with 500 or more employees. When we look at a matched sample of workers—people working at the same employer in May 2024 and May 2025—we see that not only is pay lower, median pay growth at small employers lags that at larger ones.
We document that business owners, particularly new entrepreneurs, tend to earn less on average than comparable wage and salary workers. Even conditional on survival, entrepreneurial earnings are highly volatile and typically lower than those of similar individuals who remain in paid employment.
This study assesses the quality of jobs created by private‑sector clients of development finance institutions, many of which are entrepreneurial firms in emerging markets. It explains that the survey “includes standardised questions, and allows for tailored questions, including job quality aspects such as participation, training, … wages and benefits.” The report finds substantial variation in wages and other job quality indicators across entrepreneurial firms and sectors; while some supported enterprises pay above local averages, others do not, indicating that jobs created through private entrepreneurial projects are not systematically higher‑wage than existing employment opportunities in the same labour markets.
The article notes: “Startups play an outsized role in net job creation in the United States, but they do not consistently offer higher pay or greater job stability than incumbent firms.” It further explains that, on average, “workers at young firms tend to earn less than those at older firms, although there is substantial variation and some high-growth startups pay exceptionally high wages.”
In labor economics, claims about whether entrepreneurship creates higher average wages usually require comparing like-for-like workers in the same labor market, not comparing founders’ income to employee wages. Raw averages at entrepreneurial firms are often affected by worker sorting, firm age, occupation mix, and founder compensation structure, so adjusted estimates are the relevant test.
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Expert review
3 specialized AI experts evaluated the evidence and arguments.
Expert 1 — The Logic Examiner
The Proponent commits a fallacy of division and false equivalence by conflating the personal income of self-employed business owners (Sources 2, 10) with the average wages of the jobs created by entrepreneurial firms. The actual jobs created by young, entrepreneurial firms systematically pay lower average wages than established employers in the same labor market (Sources 14, 17, 19, 22).
Expert 2 — The Context Analyst
The claim conflates two distinct phenomena: (1) the personal income of self-employed entrepreneurs/business owners versus wage workers, and (2) the wages paid to employees hired by entrepreneurial/startup firms versus established firms. Sources 2 and 10 show self-employed individuals earn more on average than paid-employed workers, but Sources 14, 17, 19, and 22 consistently show that jobs created by young/small entrepreneurial firms pay lower average wages than those at established firms. The claim says entrepreneurship 'creates jobs with higher average wages,' which refers to employee wages at entrepreneurial firms — and the evidence on that specific question (Sources 14, 17, 19, 22) contradicts the claim. Additionally, Source 11 notes that self-employment income averages are skewed by a small number of high earners, and Source 16 finds many entrepreneurs earn less than comparable wage workers. The claim creates a misleading impression by blending founder income data with employee wage outcomes, and the preponderance of evidence on actual job wages created by entrepreneurial firms points in the opposite direction.
Expert 3 — The Source Auditor
The most reliable, on-point sources split depending on whether “entrepreneurship” is interpreted as self-employment income of entrepreneurs (Minneapolis Fed using IRS/SSA records, Source 2; NBER working paper, Source 10—both reporting higher average incomes for self-employed than paid-employed) versus wages paid by entrepreneurial/young firms to employees (NBER 'Who Creates Jobs?', Source 14; Brookings, Source 22; and ADP Research Institute, Source 19—each indicating lower pay at young/small firms on average). Because the claim explicitly says “creates jobs with higher average wages” (job wages, not owner income) and the higher-authority job-wage evidence (Source 14, supported by Source 19 and Source 22) contradicts the proponent's owner-income evidence, the trustworthy evidence overall makes the claim misleading rather than true.
Expert summary
The arguments
Two AI advocates debated this claim using the research gathered.
Argument for
Administrative tax-record evidence indicates entrepreneurship is associated with higher average earnings than wage employment: using linked IRS and Social Security data, Minneapolis Fed reports primarily self-employed workers earn ~60% more on average than paid-employed workers, and by age 55 those who tried self-employment earn nearly twice as much (Source 2), consistent with NBER's finding that self-employed workers have significantly higher average incomes and steeper income growth even after accounting for similar characteristics (Source 10). Because these results are drawn from comprehensive IRS-based income measures (Source 1) and explicitly benchmark self-employment against paid employment within comparable groups, they substantiate the motion that entrepreneurship generates jobs with higher average wages than wage employment in the same labor market.
The Proponent's argument relies on a false equivalence fallacy, conflating the personal income of self-employed business owners (Source 2, Source 10) with the wages of the actual jobs created by those entrepreneurial firms. In reality, comprehensive labor market data confirms that the actual jobs created by young, entrepreneurial firms pay lower average wages than established, incumbent employers in the same labor market (Source 14, Source 22).
Argument against
The claim is false because extensive empirical evidence demonstrates that jobs created by young, entrepreneurial firms actually pay lower average wages than established, incumbent employers in the same labor market. Specifically, Source 14 (National Bureau of Economic Research) and Source 22 (Brookings Institution) confirm that employment at young and small firms is associated with lower average wages and less stability, while Source 19 (ADP Research Institute) shows that median worker pay is significantly lower at smaller employers.
The Opponent commits a category error by substituting evidence about firm age/size wage premia for the motion's entrepreneurship-versus-wage-employment comparison: Sources 14 (NBER) and 22 (Brookings) speak to young/small firms relative to incumbents, and Source 19 (ADP) is explicitly about employer size, none of which directly tests whether entrepreneurship (including self-employment) yields higher average earnings than paid employment within the same labor market. By contrast, the most directly on-point administrative tax-record comparisons show higher average incomes for primarily self-employed workers than paid-employed workers (Source 2, Minneapolis Fed) and higher average incomes with steeper growth for self-employed versus paid-employed even among similar characteristics (Source 10, NBER), grounded in IRS-based income measurement (Source 1, IRS), which the Opponent fails to engage.